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July 15, 2026

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US stocks opened higher on Wednesday after investors responded to another softer-than-expected inflation report and a fresh round of corporate earnings.

Chip stocks fell even after upbeat guidance from ASML.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added roughly 148 points, or 0.28%.

The S&P 500 rose 0.47%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained about 0.67%.

The gains came after data showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declined 0.3% in June, compared with expectations for no monthly change.

The report followed Tuesday’s weaker-than-expected Consumer Price Index reading, reinforcing expectations that inflationary pressures may be easing.

Market participants reduced expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve interest rate increase following the latest inflation data.

According to CME’s FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s July meeting fell to around 16%-17%, down sharply from more than 40% before Tuesday’s CPI report.

However, traders continued to expect at least one rate increase later this year, with markets assigning a high probability of a September hike.

Investors were also awaiting the second day of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s testimony before Congress after he cautioned on Tuesday that a single inflation reading was not sufficient to declare victory over rising prices.

Corporate earnings remain in focus

Second-quarter earnings continued to shape market sentiment, with another round of financial companies reporting results.

BlackRock shares climbed more than 7% in trading after the asset manager reported quarterly earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, supported by higher client asset values during the market rally.

Morgan Stanley also topped Wall Street profit estimates for the second quarter, benefiting from stronger mergers and acquisitions activity. Its shares traded modestly higher before the opening bell.

The strong bank results helped reinforce optimism surrounding the early stages of the earnings season.

Investors are closely monitoring corporate earnings after the S&P 500 has gained more than 10% this year and closed Tuesday less than 1% below its June record high.

Elsewhere, PayPal surged nearly 15% in trading after Reuters reported that payments company Stripe and private equity firm Advent International had jointly offered to acquire the company for $60.50 per share, representing a significant premium to its previous closing price.

Not all earnings reactions were positive.

Elevance Health fell 11% despite raising its annual profit forecast, as investors viewed the revised outlook as falling short of expectations.

Chip stocks falls even as ASML raises outlook

Semiconductor reversed premarket gains after ASML raised its financial outlook for 2026 for the second time this year, reinforcing confidence in continued artificial intelligence-driven demand.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF was in red. ASML rose around 1%, while Intel and Lam Research fell more than 0.5%.

Despite the improved inflation outlook, geopolitical developments continued to limit broader market enthusiasm.

Oil prices remained elevated after the US military launched another round of strikes against Iran.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose about 0.6% to trade above $79 per barrel, while Brent crude futures gained roughly 0.7% to trade above $85 per barrel.

The post Dow rises 140 points as softer inflation, BlackRock, PayPal lift US stocks appeared first on Invezz

Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 2000.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave C).

  • Ethereum broke resistance area
  • Likely to rise to resistance level 2000.00

Ethereum cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance area located between the strong resistance level 1835.00 (which stopped the previous short-term correction a in the middle of June, as can be seen from the daily Ethereum chart below) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of May. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active minor impulse wave C of the intermediate ABC corrective wave 2 from the start of June.

Given the strength of the active impulse wave C and the bullish sentiment seen across the crypto markets today, Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 2000.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave C).

The subject matter and the content of this article are solely the views of the author. FinanceFeeds does not bear any legal responsibility for the content of this article and they do not reflect the viewpoint of FinanceFeeds or its editorial staff.

The information does not constitute advice or a recommendation on any course of action and does not take into account your personal circumstances, financial situation, or individual needs. We strongly recommend you seek independent professional advice or conduct your own independent research before acting upon any information contained in this article.

 

 

Through the first six months of 2026, 372 larger U.S. companies filed for bankruptcy protection, the highest first-half total since 2010, S&P Global Market Intelligence reported.

Yet the bond market barely flinched, and a growing pool of private capital moved toward the wreckage with open checkbooks rather than clenched fists.

Distressed-debt investors are treating the filings as a buying opportunity. The disconnect between bankruptcy volume and market calm suggests where credit conditions are heading.

Credit spreads tighten even as bankruptcy filings climb

The spread on the five-year CDX (Credit Default Swap Index) North American High Yield index, a key measure of how much extra yield investors demand to hold riskier corporate debt, fell to about 304 basis points by the end of June, S&P Global noted.

That was a sharp retreat from the 406-basis-point level reached in March, when the Iran conflict and concerns about AI disruption to software companies briefly unsettled markets, Neuberger Berman and Guggenheim Investments noted in separate outlook reports.

In practical terms, a tightening spread means bond investors grew more comfortable lending money to lower-rated companies over the second quarter, even as distressed firms continued entering court protection. 

Andrew Glenn, managing partner at Glenn Agre Bergman & Fuentes, expects shrinking liquidity in private credit to drive a wave of court-supervised restructurings.

Once there are withdrawals from private credit funds and market liquidity dries up, you’re going to see more in-court restructuring activity…What you are going to see as time goes on is less liquidity, more demand for financial and operational restructurings and more in-court activity as a result

The ICE BofA US High Yield Index option-adjusted spread was near 269 basis points as of mid-July, well below its 20-year average of about 490 basis points, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data.

Credit spread behavior has real downstream effects on borrowing costs for auto loans, credit cards, and mortgages, since corporate bond pricing shapes the broader lending environment in which banks operate.

Industrial and healthcare companies drive the filing surge

Industrial companies accounted for the largest share of filings through June, with 50 petitions, followed by 35 from consumer discretionary and 26 from healthcare, according to S&P Global data.

In June alone, industrials and healthcare each filed at least seven petitions, while the financial sector contributed five.

More Bankruptcy:

Small businesses faced even steeper pressure, with 1,663 smaller firms filing for protection during the first half of 2026, a 50% year-over-year jump, bankruptcy services platform Epiq AACER confirmed

Amy Quackenboss, executive director of the American Bankruptcy Institute, attributed the surge to higher borrowing costs, increasing expenses, and geopolitical volatility, which she said are leading more debtors to seek restructuring.

Industrial, healthcare, and small businesses fueled a sharp rise in bankruptcy filings as higher borrowing costs and economic pressures strained companies.

Hispanolistic/Getty Images

Distressed-debt funds amass $100 billion to buy troubled assets

Opportunistic, special situations, and distressed-debt funds have collectively amassed more than $100 billion in new capital over the past two years, with the ten largest funds currently raising nearly $50 billion more, according to WithIntelligence

That capital is positioned to purchase distressed corporate loans and bonds at steep discounts, often in the range of 60 to 80 cents on the dollar, according to Brian Peters’s industry analyses of recent distressed transactions.

Victor Khosla, founder of Strategic Value Partners, told the Financial Times that the current environment represents the largest opportunity for distressed-debt investing since the 2008 financial crisis.

Payment-in-kind structures may be masking deeper borrower problems

The gap between headline bankruptcy counts and investor appetite may not be as reassuring as it appears. 

As of the fourth quarter of 2025, about 6.4% of private credit loans carried so-called bad payment-in-kind provisions, under which lenders accepted deferred interest rather than cash because borrowers could not meet their obligations. 

The figures come from Lincoln International data and have more than doubled since 2021, as Lincoln International treats them as a shadow default indicator.

This suggests that real distress in private credit portfolios may run closer to 6%, roughly three times the publicly reported default rate of about 2%.

Restructuring attorneys expect a second-half wave of large filings

Glenn described the environment in a May interview with S&P Global as a “calm before the storm” ahead of a larger restructuring cycle.

Glenn told S&P Global that macroeconomic factors, including elevated interest rates weighing on highly leveraged companies, have not yet led to the next round of major Chapter 11 cases, but he projected significantly more court-supervised restructurings in the second half of the year.

PwC’s 2026 global private credit survey, which polled more than 120 portfolio managers, reached a similar conclusion. 

PwC described the asset class as entering its first “test” as a major asset class, noting that while most managers remain positive about growth, 64% cite borrower defaults and credit losses as an expected drag on 2026 fund performance.

For now, rising bankruptcies and tight credit spreads continue to coexist. Whether that changes depends on how much of the $100 billion in distressed capital gets deployed in the second half of 2026, and how many of the borrowers PwC’s surveyed managers flagged actually default.

Related: Leading energy company files for chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Financial Conduct Authority has started regulating Buy Now Pay Later in the UK, requiring third-party lenders to assess whether customers can afford repayments before extending credit and bringing a market used by almost 11 million adults into the consumer credit framework for the first time.

The rules took effect on 15 July 2026 and apply to newly issued deferred payment credit agreements where the lender is separate from the retailer. Providers must now be authorised by the FCA or operate under a temporary permission, comply with the Consumer Duty, explain repayment terms clearly, support customers in financial difficulty and allow eligible complaints to be taken to the Financial Ombudsman Service.

The reforms give BNPL users protections that apply across other regulated credit products, including proportionate affordability checks before borrowing and, in some cases, the right to seek a refund from the lender under Section 75 of the Consumer Credit Act. Agreements entered into before 15 July remain outside the new regime, while retailers that provide their own credit continue to benefit from an exemption.

The change brings the UK closer to the European Union’s revised Consumer Credit Directive, which expressly brings many BNPL schemes within consumer credit regulation. The UK and EU frameworks are not identical, but both are moving away from treating short-term, interest-free instalment products as a separate category requiring fewer protections than other forms of borrowing.

A £13 Billion Market Comes Under FCA Oversight

BNPL has grown from a relatively small checkout option into a significant part of UK consumer credit. The FCA said the market expanded from £60 million in 2017 to more than £13 billion in 2024. Its Financial Lives Survey found that 20% of UK consumers, equivalent to 10.9 million adults, used BNPL in the 12 months to May 2024.

The product initially gained traction by allowing shoppers to divide purchases such as clothes, electronics and furniture into several interest-free payments. Its use has since spread into routine household spending. Research published by Fair4All Finance found that one in five financially struggling or financially squeezed BNPL users had used the product for essential purchases such as groceries and bills.

The expansion created a regulatory gap. Consumers could accumulate multiple agreements from different lenders without the same affordability protections, complaint rights and supervisory standards that apply to credit cards and personal loans. The FCA said repeated borrowing had sometimes left customers without a clear view of what they owed, contributing to missed payments, late fees and worsening financial circumstances.

Under the new regime, lenders must carry out checks proportionate to the amount, product and customer circumstances. The FCA has not prescribed one universal assessment for every transaction. Firms can tailor their approach, but they must be able to show that their lending decisions are responsible and that customers can afford the repayments without creating financial harm.

The Next Test Is Whether Checks Disrupt Checkout

For BNPL providers and retailers, compliance is only part of the challenge. The commercial test is whether lenders can conduct the required assessments without undermining the fast checkout experience that helped BNPL grow.

Radi El Haj, Chief Executive Officer at payments infrastructure provider RS2, said affordability checks should be embedded within the transaction rather than added as a separate stage after the customer chooses BNPL.

“Affordability checks can’t be a separate step tacked onto checkout. That’s where lenders will lose customers. They need to happen instantly, as part of the transaction itself, using the same real-time data lenders already rely on for fraud checks. Do that well and the customer barely notices. Do it badly and they abandon the basket.”

His argument shifts the focus from whether lenders comply to how they comply. A provider that requires customers to leave checkout, submit extensive information or wait for a manual decision risks losing the sale even when the applicant ultimately qualifies. Lenders with real-time decisioning systems may be able to assess affordability using customer data, credit information, account history and risk indicators while keeping the process within the existing payment journey.

El Haj compared the change with the implementation of Strong Customer Authentication under the revised Payment Services Directive. Some merchants and payment firms initially treated the additional authentication requirement as a compliance step separate from checkout design, contributing to failed payments and customer abandonment. Others used exemptions, risk-based authentication and improved interfaces to reduce disruption.

“We saw something similar play out with PSD2 and Strong Customer Authentication a few years back. Plenty of firms treated it as a box-ticking exercise and ended up with checkouts that dropped customers left and right. The firms that treated it as a design problem came out the other side with smoother journeys than they started with. I’d expect BNPL regulation to sort providers the same way.”

The comparison has limits because affordability assessments and payment authentication serve different purposes. Both, however, require providers to introduce regulatory controls at a point in the customer journey where delays and additional steps can reduce conversion. The firms best able to combine compliance, data and payment orchestration may therefore gain an advantage over providers relying on fragmented systems.

Up To 30% Of Existing Users Could Be Rejected

The protections may also reduce access for consumers who previously used BNPL without undergoing a regulated affordability assessment. Fair4All Finance estimates that between 10% and 30% of current users could be rejected once the regime is fully implemented.

The organisation said exclusion is likely to be concentrated among consumers in financially precarious positions, including people who use interest-free instalments to manage cash flow. Its research found that 41% of BNPL users had struggled to make a repayment, while around two in five of those who experienced repayment difficulty had cut back on essentials.

Santosh “San” Nakra-Shah, Co-founder and Managing Partner at ChilliMint Europe, said the regulation is overdue but warned that rejecting a BNPL application does not remove the applicant’s need for short-term credit.

“What worries me is the unintended effects of these regulations. Fair4All Finance estimates the stricter affordability checks could exclude 10-30% of current users from BNPL altogether. That need for quick, flexible credit doesn’t evaporate just because access tightens. It goes looking for a new front door, and people don’t always choose a safer one once theirs closes.”

That creates what Fair4All Finance describes as an exclusion paradox. Preventing unaffordable borrowing protects consumers only when those rejected do not replace BNPL with a higher-cost or less regulated product. Some could turn to overdrafts, credit cards, high-cost lenders or unlicensed credit if affordable alternatives are unavailable.

The FCA has acknowledged that some regular BNPL customers may find the product harder to access. It argues that lending should not proceed when repayment would worsen a consumer’s financial position and that proportionate checks are necessary to prevent unsustainable debt.

Nakra-Shah said the next phase of the policy debate should consider where excluded demand moves.

“I see stronger regulation as a genuinely positive step, but the debate feels incomplete. Demand for short-term credit won’t disappear when BNPL becomes harder to access, so are we solving the problem, or just moving it somewhere less visible? As the market evolves, are we paying enough attention to the consumers who may end up caught in the middle?”

Consumer Protection Could Strengthen Trust In BNPL

The rules may reduce approval rates, but they could also make BNPL more acceptable to consumers who were previously concerned about weak protections. Users will receive clearer information before borrowing, including payment dates, amounts and the consequences of missing an instalment. Lenders must provide appropriate help when customers experience financial difficulty, which can include accepting lower repayments or allowing more time to pay.

Consumers can now take complaints relating to regulated agreements to the Financial Ombudsman Service. Some purchases will also qualify for Section 75 protection, allowing customers to pursue the lender when goods or services are misrepresented, faulty or not supplied, subject to the statutory conditions.

El Haj said those protections could improve the sector’s reputation and support providers capable of meeting the higher operational standard.

“There’s a genuine upside here too. Section 75-style protections and access to the Ombudsman should build real trust in a product that’s had a bit of an image problem, which in turn should grow the market for the lenders doing this properly. But it raises the bar on infrastructure. Real-time decisioning, clean audit trails and BNPL providers actually talking to the rest of the payments stack aren’t optional extras anymore.”

The regulatory transition could also change the competitive structure of the market. Larger providers have had more time and resources to prepare credit assessment, reporting, complaints and customer support systems. Smaller lenders face the same conduct requirements while operating on transactions that often generate limited revenue, potentially increasing pressure to partner with larger platforms, change their products or leave the market.

BNPL Competition Moves From Frictionless Credit To Frictionless Compliance

The rules do not end the commercial case for BNPL. Interest-free instalments can help customers spread costs and manage irregular cash flow when the borrowing remains affordable. The FCA has said it wants the sector to continue innovating and growing sustainably rather than restricting access for customers who can repay.

What changes from today is the basis of competition. Providers previously competed mainly on merchant distribution, approval speed, customer reach and the simplicity of the checkout experience. They must now combine those features with affordability assessments, regulatory reporting, audit trails, financial difficulty support and Ombudsman exposure.

The strongest providers will be those able to meet those obligations without turning a fast checkout option into a slow credit application. That requires affordability data, fraud controls, credit decisioning and payment processing to operate as one connected system rather than a series of separate checks.

The longer-term risk is that regulation divides the market between customers who retain access to a safer BNPL product and those pushed toward more expensive borrowing. The longer-term opportunity is that consumer protections make BNPL a more trusted and sustainable part of the credit market.

The rules settling that balance began today. Their impact will be measured not only by complaint numbers and default rates, but also by checkout conversion, approval rates, provider exits and where consumers denied BNPL seek credit next.